Putting Up Numbers· college football

Texas Tech’s penalty yards with Malcolm Simmons and since Malcolm Simmons’ last game

, ,

Against what the season’s ratings expected, Texas Tech was 3.4 yards under with Malcolm Simmons and 18.4 yards over since Malcolm Simmons’ last game over its last 25 games, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 53.9 and 74.0, a difference of 20.1. All 3 away games were with Malcolm Simmons. All 6 unranked opponents were with Malcolm Simmons. All 3 nonconference games were with Malcolm Simmons.

Malcolm Simmons, receiver: 91 receiving yards, 2 receptions and 2 receiving touchdowns in 5 of those 25 games.

One game since Malcolm Simmons’ last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

penalty yards a game over expected

The games

with Malcolm Simmonssince Malcolm Simmons’ last game
Texas Tech’s games, last 25 games, each marked with Malcolm Simmons or since Malcolm Simmons’ last game
SideDateGameResultpenalty yardsExpected
Nov 23, 2024@Oklahoma StateW10348.8
Nov 30, 2024vsWest VirginiaW2058.2
Dec 27, 2024vsArkansas (neutral)L1556.9
Aug 30, 2025vsAArkansas-Pine BluffW60—
Sep 6, 2025vsKent StateW6051.6
Sep 13, 2025vsOregon StateW7558.5
Sep 20, 2025@UtahW12249.9
Oct 4, 2025@HoustonW6562.3
Oct 11, 2025vsKansasW7747.9
Oct 18, 2025@Arizona StateL3957.3
Oct 25, 2025vsOklahoma StateW955.8
Nov 1, 2025@Kansas StateW2150.2
Nov 8, 2025vsBYUW5050.7
Nov 15, 2025vsUCFW7649.7
Nov 29, 2025@West VirginiaW5458.9
Dec 6, 2025vsBYU (neutral)W3552.9
Jan 1, 2026vsOregon (neutral)L3654.0
Sep 5, 2026vsAAbilene ChristianW60—
Sep 12, 2026@Oregon StateW7060.3
Sep 18, 2026vsHoustonW3559.4
Sep 26, 2026vsSam HoustonW4758.0
Oct 3, 2026@ColoradoW5158.4
Oct 17, 2026vsArizona StateW2948.9
Oct 24, 2026@CincinnatiL8552.5
Oct 31, 2026vsArizonaW7455.6

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, minus 1.3 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 27% of the difference the model predicts.
  • Abilene Christian has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
  • 17 games in 2024 and 2025 are neither with Malcolm Simmons nor since Malcolm Simmons’ last game: Malcolm Simmons had no game for the team those seasons, and sit out.