Putting Up Numbers· college football

Texas Tech’s pass attempts with Will Hammond and since Will Hammond’s last game

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Texas Tech was 0.5 pass attempts over with Will Hammond and 7.2 pass attempts under since Will Hammond’s last game in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 30.1 and 25.0, a difference of 5.1. All 3 away games were with Will Hammond. All 6 unranked opponents were with Will Hammond. All 3 nonconference games were with Will Hammond.

Will Hammond, quarterback: 1,561 passing yards, 205 pass attempts and 139 completions in 7 games this season, 97% of Texas Tech’s pass attempts in those games.

One game since Will Hammond’s last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

pass attempts a game over expected

The games

with Will Hammondsince Will Hammond’s last game
Texas Tech’s games, 2026, each marked with Will Hammond or since Will Hammond’s last game
SideDateGameResultpass attemptsExpected
Sep 5, 2026vsAAbilene ChristianW34—
Sep 12, 2026@Oregon StateW2829.7
Sep 18, 2026vsHoustonW2828.7
Sep 26, 2026vsSam HoustonW3123.9
Oct 3, 2026@ColoradoW2627.9
Oct 17, 2026vsArizona StateW2731.0
Oct 24, 2026@CincinnatiL3732.9
Oct 31, 2026vsArizonaW2532.2

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, minus 0.1 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 60% of the difference the model predicts.
  • Abilene Christian has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
  • With him means he was the team’s quarterback that game, at least half of its pass attempts; a game he left early or came into late reads as without him.