Putting Up Numbers· college football

Texas A&M’s third-down conversion rate with Mario Craver and without Mario Craver

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Texas A&M averaged 39.3% third-down conversion rate with Mario Craver and 63.6% without Mario Craver in 2026, 7 games against 1, a difference of 24.4%. All 3 away games were with Mario Craver. All 3 night games were with Mario Craver. All 3 ranked opponents were with Mario Craver.

Mario Craver, receiver: 286 receiving yards, 30 receptions and 3 receiving touchdowns in 7 games this season.

One game without Mario Craver is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

third-down conversion rate a game

The games

with Mario Craverwithout Mario Craver
Texas A&M’s games, 2026, each marked with Mario Craver or without Mario Craver
SideDateGameResult3rd downsExpected
Sep 5, 2026vsMissouri StateW50.0%44.1%
Sep 12, 2026vsArizona StateW25.0%39.4%
Sep 19, 2026vsKentuckyL52.9%40.7%
Sep 26, 2026@LSUL26.7%36.3%
Oct 3, 2026vsArkansasW56.3%41.1%
Oct 10, 2026@MissouriL27.8%39.1%
Oct 17, 2026vsThe CitadelW63.6%—
Oct 24, 2026@AlabamaL36.4%33.9%

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 1.4% for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • The Citadel has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 2 of these 8 games; in the other 6 a player is counted as in them when the box score has a stat for him.