
Texas A&M’s third-down conversion rate with Mario Craver and without Mario Craver
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Texas A&M averaged 39.3% third-down conversion rate with Mario Craver and 63.6% without Mario Craver in 2026, 7 games against 1, a difference of 24.4%. All 3 away games were with Mario Craver. All 3 night games were with Mario Craver. All 3 ranked opponents were with Mario Craver.
Mario Craver, receiver: 286 receiving yards, 30 receptions and 3 receiving touchdowns in 7 games this season.
One game without Mario Craver is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
third-down conversion rate a game
with Mario Craver
39.3%
without Mario Craver
63.6%
30%40%50%60%
The games
with Mario Craverwithout Mario Craver
| Side | Date | Game | Result | 3rd downs | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | vs | W | 50.0% | 44.1% | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vs | W | 25.0% | 39.4% | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vs | L | 52.9% | 40.7% | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | @ | L | 26.7% | 36.3% | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | vs | W | 56.3% | 41.1% | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | @ | L | 27.8% | 39.1% | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | vs | W | 63.6% | — | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | @ | L | 36.4% | 33.9% |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 1.4% for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- The Citadel has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 2 of these 8 games; in the other 6 a player is counted as in them when the box score has a stat for him.