Texas A&M’s points with Mario Craver and without Mario Craver
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Texas A&M averaged 30.3 points with Mario Craver and 44.5 without Mario Craver over its last 25 games, 19 games against 2, a difference of 14.2. All 8 away games were with Mario Craver. All 9 night games were with Mario Craver. All 8 ranked opponents were with Mario Craver.
Mario Craver, receiver: 1,203 receiving yards, 89 receptions and 7 receiving touchdowns in 19 of those 25 games.
2 games without Mario Craver is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points a game
with Mario Craver
30.3
without Mario Craver
44.5
2040
A −14.2 difference in points with Mario Craver vs without Mario Craver is about what you’d expect.
The games
with Mario Craverwithout Mario Craver
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2024 | vs New Mexico State | W | 38 | 47.9 | |
| Nov 23, 2024 | @ Auburn | L | 41 | 23.6 | |
| Nov 30, 2024 | vs Texas | L | 7 | 23.3 | |
| Dec 27, 2024 | vs USC (neutral) | L | 31 | 26.3 | |
| Aug 30, 2025 | vs UTSA | W | 42 | 39.6 | |
| Sep 6, 2025 | vs Utah State | W | 44 | 40.0 | |
| Sep 13, 2025 | @ Notre Dame | W | 41 | 22.3 | |
| Sep 27, 2025 | vsAuburn | W | 16 | 31.4 | |
| Oct 4, 2025 | vs Mississippi State | W | 31 | 40.4 | |
| Oct 11, 2025 | vs Florida | W | 34 | 30.2 | |
| Oct 18, 2025 | @ Arkansas | W | 45 | 36.8 | |
| Oct 25, 2025 | @ LSU | W | 49 | 22.3 | |
| Nov 8, 2025 | @ Missouri | W | 38 | 25.5 | |
| Nov 15, 2025 | vs South Carolina | W | 31 | 31.0 | |
| Nov 22, 2025 | vs Samford | W | 48 | — | |
| Nov 28, 2025 | @Texas | L | 17 | 28.7 | |
| Dec 20, 2025 | vs Miami (FL) | L | 3 | 25.7 | |
| Sep 5, 2026 | vs Missouri State | W | 50 | 37.8 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vs Arizona State | W | 48 | 29.9 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vs Kentucky | L | 21 | 26.3 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | @LSU | L | 6 | 20.4 | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | vsArkansas | W | 34 | 28.4 | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | @Missouri | L | 6 | 21.9 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | vs The Citadel | W | 41 | — | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | @ Alabama | L | 20 | 19.7 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every game of its season between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 1.5 in 2025, plus 1.9 in 2026 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
- Samford, The Citadel have no other game in the table, so those games have no expected number and sit out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 6 of these 21 games; in the other 15 a player is counted as in them when the box score has a stat for him.
- 4 games in 2024 are neither with Mario Craver nor without Mario Craver: Mario Craver had no game for the team that season, and sit out.