Putting Up Numbers· college football

Texas A&M’s points allowed with Mario Craver and without Mario Craver

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Texas A&M averaged 22.3 points allowed with Mario Craver and 0.0 without Mario Craver over its last 25 games, 19 games against 2, a difference of 22.3. All 8 away games were with Mario Craver. All 9 night games were with Mario Craver. All 8 ranked opponents were with Mario Craver.

Mario Craver, receiver: 1,203 receiving yards, 89 receptions and 7 receiving touchdowns in 19 of those 25 games.

2 games without Mario Craver is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

points allowed a game

A +22.3 difference in points allowed with Mario Craver vs without Mario Craver is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were with Mario Craver and it comes up 5 times in 100.

The games

with Mario Craverwithout Mario Craver
Texas A&M’s games, last 25 games, each marked with Mario Craver or without Mario Craver
SideDateGameResultpoints allowedExpected
Nov 16, 2024vsNew Mexico StateW312.4
Nov 23, 2024@AuburnL4319.2
Nov 30, 2024vsTexasL1729.8
Dec 27, 2024vsUSC (neutral)L3527.0
Aug 30, 2025vsUTSAW2423.2
Sep 6, 2025vsUtah StateW2219.9
Sep 13, 2025@Notre DameW4034.7
Sep 27, 2025vsAuburnW1020.1
Oct 4, 2025vsMississippi StateW924.9
Oct 11, 2025vsFloridaW1717.4
Oct 18, 2025@ArkansasW4227.0
Oct 25, 2025@LSUW2518.5
Nov 8, 2025@MissouriW1724.6
Nov 15, 2025vsSouth CarolinaW3016.4
Nov 22, 2025vsSamfordW0—
Nov 28, 2025@TexasL2726.4
Dec 20, 2025vsMiami (FL)L1028.5
Sep 5, 2026vsMissouri StateW013.7
Sep 12, 2026vsArizona StateW2017.9
Sep 19, 2026vsKentuckyL3122.6
Sep 26, 2026@LSUL3532.0
Oct 3, 2026vsArkansasW719.4
Oct 10, 2026@MissouriL2723.6
Oct 17, 2026vsThe CitadelW0—
Oct 24, 2026@AlabamaL3133.1

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every game of its season between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, minus 1.5 in 2025, minus 1.8 in 2026 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
  • Samford, The Citadel have no other game in the table, so those games have no expected number and sit out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 6 of these 21 games; in the other 15 a player is counted as in them when the box score has a stat for him.
  • 4 games in 2024 are neither with Mario Craver nor without Mario Craver: Mario Craver had no game for the team that season, and sit out.