Syracuse’s points of margin with Amari Odom and without Amari Odom
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Syracuse was 2.0 points under with Amari Odom and 0.4 points under without Amari Odom in 2026, 1 game against 6. The plain averages are 1.0 and 5.6, a difference of 4.6. Expected was 6.5 points higher with Amari Odom than without Amari Odom. All 4 home games were without Amari Odom. All 4 night games were without Amari Odom. All 6 conference games were without Amari Odom.
Amari Odom, quarterback: 391 passing yards, 47 pass attempts and 36 completions in 3 games this season.
One game with Amari Odom is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points of margin a game over expected
with Amari Odom
−2.0
without Amari Odom
−0.4
-10010
plain
1.0
5.6
0204060
The games
with Amari Odomwithout Amari Odom
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points of margin | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | vs New Hampshire | W | 63 | — | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vs California | L | -3 | 16.8 | |
| Sep 17, 2026 | @ Pittsburgh | L | -14 | -8.0 | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | @ UConn | W | 1 | 3.0 | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | @ Virginia | L | -3 | -2.5 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | vs Louisville | L | -8 | -8.3 | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | @ North Carolina | W | 1 | -16.6 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | vs SMU | W | 3 | -2.8 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 3.7 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 79% of the difference the model predicts.
- New Hampshire has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
- With him means he was the team’s quarterback that game, at least half of its pass attempts; a game he left early or came into late reads as without him.