Syracuse’s points allowed with Ahmad Miller and without Ahmad Miller
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Syracuse averaged 29.7 points allowed with Ahmad Miller and 3.0 without Ahmad Miller over its last 25 games, 7 games against 1, a difference of 26.7. All 4 away games were with Ahmad Miller. All 4 night games were with Ahmad Miller. All 7 major-college opponents were with Ahmad Miller.
Ahmad Miller, running back: 418 rushing yards, 96 carries and 7 receptions in 7 of those 25 games.
One game without Ahmad Miller is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points allowed a game
with Ahmad Miller
29.7
without Ahmad Miller
3.0
10203040
The games
with Ahmad Millerwithout Ahmad Miller
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points allowed | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | @ Boston College | L | 37 | 29.6 | |
| Nov 16, 2024 | @ California | W | 25 | 27.1 | |
| Nov 23, 2024 | vs UConn | W | 24 | 24.2 | |
| Nov 30, 2024 | vs Miami (FL) | W | 38 | 41.0 | |
| Dec 27, 2024 | vs Washington State (neutral) | W | 35 | 29.4 | |
| Aug 30, 2025 | vs Tennessee (neutral) | L | 45 | 39.2 | |
| Sep 6, 2025 | vsUConn | W | 20 | 30.0 | |
| Sep 12, 2025 | vs Colgate | W | 24 | — | |
| Sep 20, 2025 | @ Clemson | W | 21 | 34.2 | |
| Sep 27, 2025 | vs Duke | L | 38 | 36.4 | |
| Oct 4, 2025 | @ SMU | L | 31 | 37.3 | |
| Oct 18, 2025 | vs Pittsburgh | L | 30 | 35.4 | |
| Oct 25, 2025 | @ Georgia Tech | L | 41 | 33.6 | |
| Oct 31, 2025 | vs North Carolina | L | 27 | 20.7 | |
| Nov 8, 2025 | @Miami (FL) | L | 38 | 38.6 | |
| Nov 22, 2025 | @ Notre Dame | L | 70 | 41.2 | |
| Nov 29, 2025 | vsBoston College | L | 34 | 24.8 | |
| Sep 5, 2026 | vs New Hampshire | W | 3 | — | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vsCalifornia | L | 21 | 22.8 | |
| Sep 17, 2026 | @Pittsburgh | L | 27 | 30.2 | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | @UConn | W | 41 | 24.7 | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | @ Virginia | L | 28 | 24.3 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | vs Louisville | L | 34 | 34.6 | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | @North Carolina | W | 30 | 34.3 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | vsSMU | W | 27 | 28.9 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, minus 1.8 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- New Hampshire has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
- 17 games in 2024 and 2025 are neither with Ahmad Miller nor without Ahmad Miller: Ahmad Miller had no game for the team those seasons, and sit out.