Syracuse’s carries with Amari Odom and without Amari Odom
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Syracuse was 9.4 carries over with Amari Odom and 1.4 carries over without Amari Odom over its last 25 games, 1 game against 6. The plain averages are 47.0 and 40.9, a difference of 6.1. All 4 home games were without Amari Odom. All 4 night games were without Amari Odom. All 6 conference games were without Amari Odom.
Amari Odom, quarterback: 391 passing yards, 47 pass attempts and 36 completions in 3 of those 25 games, 7% of Syracuse’s carries in those games.
One game with Amari Odom is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
carries a game over expected
with Amari Odom
+9.4
without Amari Odom
+1.4
-50510
plain
47.0
40.9
354045
The games
with Amari Odomwithout Amari Odom
| Side | Date | Game | Result | carries | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | @ Boston College | L | 25 | 29.6 | |
| Nov 16, 2024 | @ California | W | 35 | 29.9 | |
| Nov 23, 2024 | vs UConn | W | 30 | 32.9 | |
| Nov 30, 2024 | vs Miami (FL) | W | 32 | 28.2 | |
| Dec 27, 2024 | vs Washington State (neutral) | W | 25 | 30.9 | |
| Aug 30, 2025 | vs Tennessee (neutral) | L | 44 | 37.9 | |
| Sep 6, 2025 | vsUConn | W | 27 | 42.3 | |
| Sep 12, 2025 | vs Colgate | W | 34 | — | |
| Sep 20, 2025 | @ Clemson | W | 37 | 31.6 | |
| Sep 27, 2025 | vs Duke | L | 27 | 36.3 | |
| Oct 4, 2025 | @ SMU | L | 33 | 38.4 | |
| Oct 18, 2025 | vs Pittsburgh | L | 30 | 35.4 | |
| Oct 25, 2025 | @ Georgia Tech | L | 34 | 36.0 | |
| Oct 31, 2025 | vs North Carolina | L | 31 | 38.6 | |
| Nov 8, 2025 | @Miami (FL) | L | 43 | 29.1 | |
| Nov 22, 2025 | @ Notre Dame | L | 50 | 32.0 | |
| Nov 29, 2025 | vsBoston College | L | 41 | 37.4 | |
| Sep 5, 2026 | vs New Hampshire | W | 42 | — | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vsCalifornia | L | 35 | 41.8 | |
| Sep 17, 2026 | @Pittsburgh | L | 38 | 36.3 | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | @UConn | W | 47 | 37.6 | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | @ Virginia | L | 47 | 36.7 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | vs Louisville | L | 39 | 43.3 | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | @North Carolina | W | 48 | 38.7 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | vsSMU | W | 37 | 38.8 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.6 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 61% of the difference the model predicts.
- New Hampshire has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
- With him means he was the team’s quarterback that game, at least half of its pass attempts; a game he left early or came into late reads as without him.
- 17 games in 2024 and 2025 are neither with Amari Odom nor without Amari Odom: Amari Odom had no game for the team those seasons, and sit out.