Putting Up Numbers· college football

Syracuse’s carries with Ahmad Miller and without Ahmad Miller

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Syracuse averaged 41.6 carries with Ahmad Miller and 42.0 without Ahmad Miller over its last 25 games, 7 games against 1, a difference of 0.4. All 4 away games were with Ahmad Miller. All 4 night games were with Ahmad Miller. All 7 major-college opponents were with Ahmad Miller.

Ahmad Miller, running back: 418 rushing yards, 96 carries and 7 receptions in 7 of those 25 games, 33% of Syracuse’s carries in those games.

One game without Ahmad Miller is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

carries a game

The games

with Ahmad Millerwithout Ahmad Miller
Syracuse’s games, last 25 games, each marked with Ahmad Miller or without Ahmad Miller
SideDateGameResultcarriesExpected
Nov 9, 2024@Boston CollegeL2529.6
Nov 16, 2024@CaliforniaW3529.9
Nov 23, 2024vsUConnW3032.9
Nov 30, 2024vsMiami (FL)W3228.2
Dec 27, 2024vsWashington State (neutral)W2530.9
Aug 30, 2025vsTennessee (neutral)L4437.9
Sep 6, 2025vsUConnW2742.3
Sep 12, 2025vsColgateW34—
Sep 20, 2025@ClemsonW3731.6
Sep 27, 2025vsDukeL2736.3
Oct 4, 2025@SMUL3338.4
Oct 18, 2025vsPittsburghL3035.4
Oct 25, 2025@Georgia TechL3436.0
Oct 31, 2025vsNorth CarolinaL3138.6
Nov 8, 2025@Miami (FL)L4329.1
Nov 22, 2025@Notre DameL5032.0
Nov 29, 2025vsBoston CollegeL4137.4
Sep 5, 2026vsNew HampshireW42—
Sep 12, 2026vsCaliforniaL3541.8
Sep 17, 2026@PittsburghL3836.3
Oct 3, 2026@UConnW4737.6
Oct 10, 2026@VirginiaL4736.7
Oct 17, 2026vsLouisvilleL3943.3
Oct 24, 2026@North CarolinaW4838.7
Oct 31, 2026vsSMUW3738.8

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.6 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • New Hampshire has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
  • 17 games in 2024 and 2025 are neither with Ahmad Miller nor without Ahmad Miller: Ahmad Miller had no game for the team those seasons, and sit out.