South Carolina’s points of margin with Christian Clark and without Christian Clark
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, South Carolina was 3.5 points over with Christian Clark and 7.3 points under without Christian Clark over its last 25 games, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 13.4 and -1.0, a difference of 14.4. All 3 away games were with Christian Clark. Both night games were with Christian Clark. All 4 unranked opponents were with Christian Clark.
Christian Clark, running back: 61 rushing yards, 19 carries and 5 receptions in 5 of those 25 games.
One game without Christian Clark is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points of margin a game over expected
with Christian Clark
+3.5
without Christian Clark
−7.3
-20020
plain
13.4
-1.0
050
The games
with Christian Clarkwithout Christian Clark
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points of margin | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | @ Vanderbilt | W | 21 | 4.3 | |
| Nov 16, 2024 | vs Missouri | W | 4 | 11.0 | |
| Nov 23, 2024 | vs Wofford | W | 44 | — | |
| Nov 30, 2024 | @ Clemson | W | 3 | 1.3 | |
| Dec 31, 2024 | vs Illinois (neutral) | L | -4 | 11.5 | |
| Aug 31, 2025 | vs Virginia Tech (neutral) | W | 13 | 8.7 | |
| Sep 6, 2025 | vsSSouth Carolina State | W | 28 | — | |
| Sep 13, 2025 | vsVanderbilt | L | -24 | -5.8 | |
| Sep 20, 2025 | @Missouri | L | -9 | -6.8 | |
| Sep 27, 2025 | vs Kentucky | W | 22 | 3.4 | |
| Oct 11, 2025 | @ LSU | L | -10 | -2.9 | |
| Oct 18, 2025 | vs Oklahoma | L | -19 | -4.1 | |
| Oct 25, 2025 | vs Alabama | L | -7 | -8.4 | |
| Nov 1, 2025 | @ Ole Miss | L | -16 | -14.1 | |
| Nov 15, 2025 | @ Texas A&M | L | -1 | -16.1 | |
| Nov 22, 2025 | vs Coastal Carolina | W | 44 | 22.2 | |
| Nov 29, 2025 | vsClemson | L | -14 | 5.5 | |
| Sep 5, 2026 | vs Kent State | W | 57 | 35.1 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vsTTowson | W | 36 | — | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vs Mississippi State | L | -7 | 13.2 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | @Alabama | L | -31 | -6.0 | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | vsKentucky | L | -1 | 6.3 | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | @ Florida | W | 19 | -8.4 | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | vs Tennessee | W | 3 | 2.8 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | @Oklahoma | W | 17 | 0.4 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 3.7 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 79% of the difference the model predicts.
- Towson has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 6 of these 8 games; in the other 2 a player is counted as in them when the box score has a stat for him.
- 17 games in 2024 and 2025 are neither with Christian Clark nor without Christian Clark: Christian Clark had no game for the team those seasons, and sit out.