Putting Up Numbers· college football

South Carolina’s passing yards with Christian Clark and without Christian Clark

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, South Carolina was 29.1 yards over with Christian Clark and 43.8 yards under without Christian Clark in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 249.6 and 226.0, a difference of 23.6. Expected was 23.8 yards lower with Christian Clark than without Christian Clark. All 3 away games were with Christian Clark. Both night games were with Christian Clark. All 4 unranked opponents were with Christian Clark.

Christian Clark, running back: 61 rushing yards, 19 carries and 5 receptions in 5 games this season.

One game without Christian Clark is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

passing yards a game over expected

The games

with Christian Clarkwithout Christian Clark
South Carolina’s games, 2026, each marked with Christian Clark or without Christian Clark
SideDateGameResultpassing yardsExpected
Sep 5, 2026vsKent StateW367276.4
Sep 12, 2026vsTTowsonW97—
Sep 19, 2026vsMississippi StateL282267.0
Sep 26, 2026@AlabamaL203265.4
Oct 3, 2026vsKentuckyL226269.8
Oct 10, 2026@FloridaW279238.9
Oct 24, 2026vsTennesseeW210218.0
Oct 31, 2026@OklahomaW309209.9

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 4.1 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 59% of the difference the model predicts.
  • Towson has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 6 of these 8 games; in the other 2 a player is counted as in them when the box score has a stat for him.