South Carolina’s pass attempts with Christian Clark and without Christian Clark
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, South Carolina was 1.8 pass attempts over with Christian Clark and 1.4 pass attempts under without Christian Clark in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 32.3 and 36.0, a difference of 3.7. Expected was 5.9 pass attempts lower with Christian Clark than without Christian Clark. All 3 away games were with Christian Clark. Both night games were with Christian Clark. All 4 unranked opponents were with Christian Clark.
Christian Clark, running back: 61 rushing yards, 19 carries and 5 receptions in 5 games this season.
One game without Christian Clark is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
pass attempts a game over expected
with Christian Clark
+1.8
without Christian Clark
−1.4
05
plain
32.3
36.0
303540
The games
with Christian Clarkwithout Christian Clark
| Side | Date | Game | Result | pass attempts | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | vs Kent State | W | 33 | 31.5 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vsTTowson | W | 26 | — | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vs Mississippi State | L | 40 | 32.7 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | @ Alabama | L | 33 | 31.2 | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | vs Kentucky | L | 36 | 37.4 | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | @ Florida | W | 35 | 31.4 | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | vs Tennessee | W | 32 | 31.4 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | @ Oklahoma | W | 27 | 31.3 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, minus 0.1 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 60% of the difference the model predicts.
- Towson has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 6 of these 8 games; in the other 2 a player is counted as in them when the box score has a stat for him.