SMU’s points with Yannick Smith and without Yannick Smith
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, SMU was 3.4 points over with Yannick Smith and 6.5 points under without Yannick Smith in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 35.4 and 34.0, a difference of 1.4. Expected was 11.9 points lower with Yannick Smith than without Yannick Smith. All 3 away games were with Yannick Smith. All 6 day games were with Yannick Smith. All 6 conference games were with Yannick Smith.
Yannick Smith, receiver: 437 receiving yards, 27 receptions and 2 receiving touchdowns in 7 games this season.
One game without Yannick Smith is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points a game over expected
with Yannick Smith
+3.4
without Yannick Smith
−6.5
01020
plain
35.4
34.0
304050
The games
with Yannick Smithwithout Yannick Smith
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 7, 2026 | @ Florida State | W | 27 | 28.7 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vsUUC-Davis | W | 56 | — | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | @ Louisville | L | 31 | 25.1 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vs Missouri State | W | 34 | 40.5 | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | vs Boston College | W | 25 | 31.6 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | vs Virginia | W | 23 | 28.2 | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | vs California | W | 59 | 29.3 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | @ Syracuse | L | 27 | 28.8 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 1.9 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 66% of the difference the model predicts.
- UC-Davis has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.