Putting Up Numbers· college football

San Jose State’s passing yards with Tama Amisone and without Tama Amisone

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, San Jose State was 111.7 yards under with Tama Amisone and 19.5 yards over without Tama Amisone over its last 25 games, 1 game against 18. The plain averages are 135.0 and 265.2, a difference of 130.1. All 10 home games were without Tama Amisone. All 10 day games were without Tama Amisone. Both ranked opponents were without Tama Amisone.

Tama Amisone, quarterback: 205 passing yards, 51 pass attempts and 26 completions in 9 of those 25 games, 9% of San Jose State’s passing yards in those games.

One game with Tama Amisone is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

passing yards a game over expected

The games

with Tama Amisonewithout Tama Amisone
San Jose State’s games, last 25 games, each marked with Tama Amisone or without Tama Amisone
SideDateGameResultpassing yardsExpected
Nov 16, 2024vsBoise StateL446289.6
Nov 22, 2024vsUNLVL81315.9
Nov 29, 2024vsStanfordW385289.9
Dec 24, 2024vsSouth Florida (neutral)L280345.8
Aug 29, 2025vsCentral MichiganL308277.3
Sep 6, 2025@TexasL184274.4
Sep 20, 2025vsIdahoW222—
Sep 27, 2025@StanfordL473262.6
Oct 3, 2025vsNew MexicoW327270.8
Oct 11, 2025@WyomingL340229.6
Oct 17, 2025@Utah StateL340292.6
Nov 1, 2025vsHawaiiW458255.3
Nov 8, 2025vsAir ForceL341308.5
Nov 15, 2025@NevadaL145282.4
Nov 22, 2025@San Diego StateL135246.7
Nov 29, 2025vsFresno StateL114235.2
Aug 29, 2026@USCL234204.7
Sep 4, 2026@Eastern MichiganW316262.5
Sep 12, 2026vsCCal PolyW238—
Sep 19, 2026vsFresno StateL244246.3
Oct 3, 2026@HawaiiW246209.3
Oct 9, 2026vsWyomingL251217.9
Oct 17, 2026@UTEPW193221.9
Oct 24, 2026@NevadaL139224.0
Oct 31, 2026vsNew MexicoL190217.2

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every game of its season between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 1.8 in 2025, plus 4.1 in 2026 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 68% in 2025, 59% in 2026 of the difference the model predicts.
  • Idaho, Cal Poly have no other game in the table, so those games have no expected number and sit out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 15 of these 21 games; in the other 6 a player is counted as in them when the box score has a stat for him.
  • With him means he was the team’s quarterback that game, at least half of its pass attempts; a game he left early or came into late reads as without him.
  • 4 games in 2024 are neither with Tama Amisone nor without Tama Amisone: Tama Amisone had no game for the team that season, and sit out.