Putting Up Numbers· college football

Sam Houston’s yards a carry with MJ Dowdy and without MJ Dowdy

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Sam Houston averaged 2.55 yards a carry with MJ Dowdy and 2.26 without MJ Dowdy over its last 25 games, 6 games against 2, a difference of 0.29. All 4 conference games were with MJ Dowdy.

MJ Dowdy, running back: 147 rushing yards, 40 carries and 2 receptions in 5 of those 25 games.

2 games without MJ Dowdy is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

yards a carry a game

A +0.29 difference in yards a carry with MJ Dowdy vs without MJ Dowdy is about what you’d expect.

The games

with MJ Dowdywithout MJ Dowdy
Sam Houston’s games, last 25 games, each marked with MJ Dowdy or without MJ Dowdy
SideDateGameResultyards a carryExpected
Oct 29, 2024vsLouisiana TechW3.76—
Nov 16, 2024@Kennesaw StateW4.72—
Nov 23, 2024@Jacksonville StateL4.49—
Nov 29, 2024vsLibertyW3.21—
Dec 19, 2024vsGeorgia Southern (neutral)W1.77—
Aug 23, 2025@Western KentuckyL5.58—
Aug 29, 2025vsUNLV (neutral)L4.14—
Sep 6, 2025@HawaiiL2.47—
Sep 20, 2025@TexasL1.04—
Oct 2, 2025@New Mexico StateL2.65—
Oct 9, 2025vsJacksonville State (neutral)L4.55—
Oct 15, 2025vsUTEP (neutral)L3.98—
Oct 31, 2025@Louisiana TechL8.97—
Nov 8, 2025@Oregon StateW3.22—
Nov 15, 2025vsDelaware (neutral)W5.04—
Nov 22, 2025@Middle TennesseeL3.29—
Nov 29, 2025vsFlorida International (neutral)L5.16—
Sep 5, 2026@TroyL1.58—
Sep 12, 2026vsTulsaL1.77—
Sep 19, 2026vsNNichollsW5.95—
Sep 26, 2026@Texas TechL2.74—
Oct 8, 2026@LibertyL3.62—
Oct 14, 2026vsWestern KentuckyL2.41—
Oct 21, 2026vsNew Mexico StateL0.68—
Oct 27, 2026@Missouri StateL1.04—

Method

Read against .

  • The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
  • 17 games in 2024 and 2025 are neither with MJ Dowdy nor without MJ Dowdy: MJ Dowdy had no game for the team those seasons, and sit out.