Putting Up Numbers· college football

Sam Houston’s rushing yards with Landyn Locke and since Landyn Locke’s last game

, ,

Against what the season’s ratings expected, Sam Houston was 28.9 yards under with Landyn Locke and 103.1 yards under since Landyn Locke’s last game in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 84.0 and 26.0, a difference of 58.0. All 4 home games were with Landyn Locke. All 4 night games were with Landyn Locke. All 4 nonconference games were with Landyn Locke.

Landyn Locke, quarterback: 1,653 passing yards, 236 pass attempts and 147 completions in 7 games this season.

One game since Landyn Locke’s last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

rushing yards a game over expected

The games

with Landyn Lockesince Landyn Locke’s last game
Sam Houston’s games, 2026, each marked with Landyn Locke or since Landyn Locke’s last game
SideDateGameResultrushing yardsExpected
Sep 5, 2026@TroyL3883.8
Sep 12, 2026vsTulsaL55100.3
Sep 19, 2026vsNNichollsW238—
Sep 26, 2026@Texas TechL7430.0
Oct 8, 2026@LibertyL10565.4
Oct 14, 2026vsWestern KentuckyL65132.3
Oct 21, 2026vsNew Mexico StateL13111.7
Oct 27, 2026@Missouri StateL26129.1

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 8.0 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 60% of the difference the model predicts.
  • Nicholls has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
  • With him means he was the team’s quarterback that game, at least half of its pass attempts; a game he left early or came into late reads as without him.