Sam Houston’s points with Landyn Locke and since Landyn Locke’s last game
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Sam Houston was 1.8 points under with Landyn Locke and 23.0 points under since Landyn Locke’s last game in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 20.1 and 3.0, a difference of 17.1. All 4 home games were with Landyn Locke. All 4 night games were with Landyn Locke. All 4 nonconference games were with Landyn Locke.
Landyn Locke, quarterback: 1,653 passing yards, 236 pass attempts and 147 completions in 7 games this season.
One game since Landyn Locke’s last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points a game over expected
with Landyn Locke
−1.8
since Landyn Locke’s last game
−23.0
-20-100
plain
20.1
3.0
2040
The games
with Landyn Lockesince Landyn Locke’s last game
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | @ Troy | L | 21 | 14.0 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vs Tulsa | L | 17 | 15.2 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vsNNicholls | W | 59 | — | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | @ Texas Tech | L | 14 | 8.4 | |
| Oct 8, 2026 | @ Liberty | L | 3 | 8.2 | |
| Oct 14, 2026 | vs Western Kentucky | L | 3 | 28.5 | |
| Oct 21, 2026 | vs New Mexico State | L | 24 | 18.3 | |
| Oct 27, 2026 | @ Missouri State | L | 3 | 26.0 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 1.9 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 66% of the difference the model predicts.
- Nicholls has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
- With him means he was the team’s quarterback that game, at least half of its pass attempts; a game he left early or came into late reads as without him.