Putting Up Numbers· college football

Sam Houston’s passing yards with Landyn Locke and since Landyn Locke’s last game

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Sam Houston was 1.0 yards under with Landyn Locke and 15.8 yards over since Landyn Locke’s last game in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 245.3 and 258.0, a difference of 12.7. Expected was 19.3 yards lower with Landyn Locke than since Landyn Locke’s last game. All 4 home games were with Landyn Locke. All 4 night games were with Landyn Locke. All 4 nonconference games were with Landyn Locke.

Landyn Locke, quarterback: 1,653 passing yards, 236 pass attempts and 147 completions in 7 games this season, 96% of Sam Houston’s passing yards in those games.

One game since Landyn Locke’s last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

passing yards a game over expected

The games

with Landyn Lockesince Landyn Locke’s last game
Sam Houston’s games, 2026, each marked with Landyn Locke or since Landyn Locke’s last game
SideDateGameResultpassing yardsExpected
Sep 5, 2026@TroyL335202.1
Sep 12, 2026vsTulsaL316216.5
Sep 19, 2026vsNNichollsW386—
Sep 26, 2026@Texas TechL195269.1
Oct 8, 2026@LibertyL138189.3
Oct 14, 2026vsWestern KentuckyL112249.1
Oct 21, 2026vsNew Mexico StateL235211.2
Oct 27, 2026@Missouri StateL258242.2

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 4.1 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 59% of the difference the model predicts.
  • Nicholls has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
  • With him means he was the team’s quarterback that game, at least half of its pass attempts; a game he left early or came into late reads as without him.