Rutgers’ yards a carry with AJ Surace and without AJ Surace
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Rutgers averaged 4.14 yards a carry with AJ Surace and 3.79 without AJ Surace over its last 25 games, 4 games against 16, a difference of 0.34. Both opponents outside the major colleges were without AJ Surace. All 3 games after a bye were without AJ Surace.
AJ Surace, quarterback: 720 passing yards, 92 pass attempts and 47 completions in 8 of those 25 games.
yards a carry a game
with AJ Surace
4.14
without AJ Surace
3.79
246
A +0.34 difference in yards a carry with AJ Surace vs without AJ Surace is about what you’d expect.
The games
with AJ Suracewithout AJ Surace
| Side | Date | Game | Result | yards a carry | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | vs Minnesota | W | 3.33 | — | |
| Nov 16, 2024 | @ Maryland | W | 3.81 | — | |
| Nov 23, 2024 | vs Illinois | L | 4.73 | — | |
| Nov 30, 2024 | @ Michigan State | W | 4.74 | — | |
| Dec 26, 2024 | vs Kansas State (neutral) | L | 4.56 | — | |
| Aug 28, 2025 | vs Ohio | W | 5.18 | — | |
| Sep 6, 2025 | vs Miami (OH) | W | 3.95 | — | |
| Sep 13, 2025 | vsNNorfolk State | W | 4.02 | — | |
| Sep 19, 2025 | vs Iowa | L | 2.33 | — | |
| Sep 27, 2025 | @Minnesota | L | 3.51 | — | |
| Oct 10, 2025 | @ Washington | L | 3.96 | — | |
| Oct 18, 2025 | vs Oregon | L | 2.93 | — | |
| Oct 25, 2025 | @ Purdue | W | 3.83 | — | |
| Nov 1, 2025 | @Illinois | L | 2.19 | — | |
| Nov 8, 2025 | vsMaryland | W | 5.46 | — | |
| Nov 22, 2025 | @ Ohio State | L | 1.89 | — | |
| Nov 29, 2025 | vs Penn State | L | 4.64 | — | |
| Sep 3, 2026 | vs UMass | L | 1.20 | — | |
| Sep 11, 2026 | @ Boston College | L | 3.76 | — | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vs USC | L | 5.58 | — | |
| Sep 25, 2026 | vsHHoward | W | 5.89 | — | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | vs Indiana | L | 1.69 | — | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | @Maryland | W | 4.11 | — | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | @ Northwestern | L | 6.26 | — | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | vs Michigan | L | 4.85 | — |
Method
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
- With him means he was the team’s quarterback that game, at least half of its pass attempts; a game he left early or came into late reads as without him.
- 5 games in 2024 are neither with AJ Surace nor without AJ Surace: AJ Surace had no game for the team that season, and sit out.