Putting Up Numbers· college football

Pittsburgh’s third-down conversion rate with La'Vell Wright and without La'Vell Wright

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Pittsburgh averaged 38.9% third-down conversion rate with La'Vell Wright and 64.3% without La'Vell Wright over its last 25 games, 8 games against 1, a difference of 25.4%. All 3 away games were with La'Vell Wright. All 3 night games were with La'Vell Wright. All 8 major-college opponents were with La'Vell Wright.

La'Vell Wright, running back: 305 rushing yards, 76 carries and 9 receptions in 8 of those 25 games.

One game without La'Vell Wright is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

third-down conversion rate a game

The games

with La'Vell Wrightwithout La'Vell Wright
Pittsburgh’s games, last 25 games, each marked with La'Vell Wright or without La'Vell Wright
SideDateGameResult3rd downsExpected
Nov 23, 2024@LouisvilleL33.3%32.4%
Nov 30, 2024@Boston CollegeL52.9%34.0%
Dec 26, 2024vsToledo (neutral)L42.1%38.9%
Aug 30, 2025vsDuquesneW35.7%—
Sep 6, 2025vsCentral MichiganW66.7%41.2%
Sep 13, 2025@West VirginiaL23.5%35.9%
Sep 27, 2025vsLouisvilleL10.0%35.3%
Oct 4, 2025vsBoston CollegeW52.9%37.3%
Oct 11, 2025@Florida StateW35.7%36.6%
Oct 18, 2025@SyracuseW26.7%36.7%
Oct 25, 2025vsNC StateW42.9%38.6%
Nov 1, 2025@StanfordW38.5%33.9%
Nov 15, 2025vsNotre DameL0.0%34.9%
Nov 22, 2025@Georgia TechW38.5%37.5%
Nov 29, 2025vsMiami (FL)L30.8%29.0%
Dec 27, 2025vsEast Carolina (neutral)L33.3%33.3%
Sep 5, 2026vsMiami (OH)W70.0%38.8%
Sep 12, 2026vsUCFW27.8%39.7%
Sep 17, 2026vsSyracuseW50.0%36.7%
Sep 26, 2026vsBucknellW64.3%—
Oct 2, 2026@Virginia TechW30.8%38.0%
Oct 10, 2026vsNorth CarolinaL43.8%40.1%
Oct 17, 2026@Boston CollegeL20.0%36.0%
Oct 24, 2026@Miami (FL)L33.3%40.3%
Oct 31, 2026vsGeorgia TechW35.3%42.9%

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 1.4% for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Bucknell has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 8 of these 9 games; in the other game a player is counted as in it when the box score has a stat for him.
  • 16 games in 2024 and 2025 are neither with La'Vell Wright nor without La'Vell Wright: La'Vell Wright had no game for the team those seasons, and sit out.