Ole Miss’ total yards with Makhi Frazier and without Makhi Frazier
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Ole Miss was 12.9 yards over with Makhi Frazier and 83.2 yards over without Makhi Frazier over its last 25 games, 7 games against 1. The plain averages are 444.9 and 432.0, a difference of 12.9. Expected was 83.1 yards higher with Makhi Frazier than without Makhi Frazier. All 3 away games were with Makhi Frazier. All 4 day games were with Makhi Frazier. All 3 unranked opponents were with Makhi Frazier.
Makhi Frazier, running back: 357 rushing yards, 68 carries and 8 receptions in 7 of those 25 games.
One game without Makhi Frazier is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
total yards a game over expected
with Makhi Frazier
+12.9
without Makhi Frazier
+83.2
-1000100
plain
444.9
432.0
400450500
The games
with Makhi Frazierwithout Makhi Frazier
| Side | Date | Game | Result | total yards | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2024 | vs Mississippi State | W | 397 | 559.5 | |
| Jan 2, 2025 | vs Duke (neutral) | W | 589 | 470.4 | |
| Aug 30, 2025 | vs Georgia State | W | 695 | 555.1 | |
| Sep 6, 2025 | @ Kentucky | W | 457 | 468.3 | |
| Sep 13, 2025 | vs Arkansas | W | 481 | 534.7 | |
| Sep 20, 2025 | vs Tulane | W | 548 | 493.6 | |
| Sep 27, 2025 | vs LSU | W | 484 | 436.5 | |
| Oct 11, 2025 | vs Washington State | W | 439 | 430.5 | |
| Oct 18, 2025 | @ Georgia | L | 351 | 411.9 | |
| Oct 25, 2025 | @ Oklahoma | W | 446 | 390.9 | |
| Nov 1, 2025 | vs South Carolina | W | 419 | 477.3 | |
| Nov 8, 2025 | vs The Citadel | W | 603 | — | |
| Nov 15, 2025 | vs Florida | W | 542 | 468.7 | |
| Nov 28, 2025 | @Mississippi State | W | 546 | 502.0 | |
| Dec 20, 2025 | vsTulane | W | 499 | 500.5 | |
| Jan 1, 2026 | vsGeorgia (neutral) | W | 473 | 403.6 | |
| Jan 8, 2026 | vs Miami (FL) (neutral) | L | 398 | 397.0 | |
| Sep 6, 2026 | vs Louisville (neutral) | W | 509 | 462.4 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vs Charlotte | W | 420 | 552.1 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vsLSU | W | 432 | 348.8 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | @Florida | L | 426 | 407.2 | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | @ Vanderbilt | W | 409 | 449.7 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | vs Missouri | W | 498 | 385.8 | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | @ Texas | L | 363 | 322.0 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | vs Auburn | W | 489 | 444.2 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 12.1 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 67% of the difference the model predicts.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
- 17 games in 2024 and 2025 are neither with Makhi Frazier nor without Makhi Frazier: Makhi Frazier had no game for the team those seasons, and sit out.