Ole Miss’ rushing yards with Makhi Frazier and without Makhi Frazier
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Ole Miss was 13.0 yards over with Makhi Frazier and 67.8 yards under without Makhi Frazier in 2026, 7 games against 1. The plain averages are 174.3 and 69.0, a difference of 105.3. All 3 away games were with Makhi Frazier. All 4 day games were with Makhi Frazier. All 3 unranked opponents were with Makhi Frazier.
Makhi Frazier, running back: 357 rushing yards, 68 carries and 8 receptions in 7 games this season, 29% of Ole Miss’s rushing yards in those games.
One game without Makhi Frazier is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
rushing yards a game over expected
with Makhi Frazier
+13.0
without Makhi Frazier
−67.8
0100
plain
174.3
69.0
100150200250
The games
with Makhi Frazierwithout Makhi Frazier
| Side | Date | Game | Result | rushing yards | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | vs Louisville (neutral) | W | 173 | 194.8 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vs Charlotte | W | 127 | 214.2 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vs LSU | W | 69 | 136.8 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | @ Florida | L | 128 | 155.9 | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | @ Vanderbilt | W | 196 | 180.9 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | vs Missouri | W | 257 | 100.8 | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | @ Texas | L | 113 | 117.4 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | vs Auburn | W | 226 | 165.3 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 8.0 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 60% of the difference the model predicts.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.