Ole Miss’ points allowed with Makhi Frazier and without Makhi Frazier
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Ole Miss was 0.5 points over with Makhi Frazier and 9.4 points under without Makhi Frazier in 2026, 7 games against 1. The plain averages are 24.0 and 24.0, a difference of 0.0. Expected was 9.9 points lower with Makhi Frazier than without Makhi Frazier. All 3 away games were with Makhi Frazier. All 4 day games were with Makhi Frazier. All 3 unranked opponents were with Makhi Frazier.
Makhi Frazier, running back: 357 rushing yards, 68 carries and 8 receptions in 7 games this season.
One game without Makhi Frazier is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points allowed a game over expected
with Makhi Frazier
+0.5
without Makhi Frazier
−9.4
-20020
plain
24.0
24.0
2040
The games
with Makhi Frazierwithout Makhi Frazier
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points allowed | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | vs Louisville (neutral) | W | 38 | 25.8 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vs Charlotte | W | 9 | 12.1 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vs LSU | W | 24 | 33.4 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | @ Florida | L | 52 | 27.0 | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | @ Vanderbilt | W | 17 | 22.0 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | vs Missouri | W | 3 | 28.1 | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | @ Texas | L | 34 | 26.6 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | vs Auburn | W | 15 | 22.8 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, minus 1.9 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 66% of the difference the model predicts.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.