Putting Up Numbers· college football

Oklahoma’s total yards with Tory Blaylock and without Tory Blaylock

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Oklahoma was 6.9 yards under with Tory Blaylock and 60.8 yards under without Tory Blaylock over its last 25 games, 19 games against 1. The plain averages are 346.1 and 401.0, a difference of 54.9. Expected was 116.7 yards lower with Tory Blaylock than without Tory Blaylock. All 7 away games were with Tory Blaylock. Both neutral-site games were with Tory Blaylock. All 5 night games were with Tory Blaylock.

Tory Blaylock, running back: 628 rushing yards, 155 carries and 16 receptions in 19 of those 25 games.

One game without Tory Blaylock is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

total yards a game over expected

The games

with Tory Blaylockwithout Tory Blaylock
Oklahoma’s games, last 25 games, each marked with Tory Blaylock or without Tory Blaylock
SideDateGameResulttotal yardsExpected
Nov 9, 2024@MissouriL257321.8
Nov 23, 2024vsAlabamaW328312.0
Nov 30, 2024@LSUL277318.1
Dec 27, 2024vsNavy (neutral)L433366.8
Aug 30, 2025vsIllinois StateW495—
Sep 6, 2025vsMichiganW409328.1
Sep 13, 2025@TempleW515400.5
Sep 20, 2025vsAuburnW306322.4
Oct 4, 2025vsKent StateW355500.0
Oct 11, 2025vsTexas (neutral)L258338.3
Oct 18, 2025@South CarolinaW320338.1
Oct 25, 2025vsOle MissL359366.0
Nov 1, 2025@TennesseeW354396.3
Nov 15, 2025@AlabamaW217311.9
Nov 22, 2025vsMissouriW277290.8
Nov 29, 2025vsLSUW395309.6
Dec 19, 2025vsAlabamaL362307.2
Sep 4, 2026vsUTEPW401461.8
Sep 12, 2026@MichiganL289312.3
Sep 19, 2026vsNew MexicoW301382.1
Sep 26, 2026@GeorgiaL296310.1
Oct 10, 2026vsTexas (neutral)W239276.8
Oct 17, 2026vsKentuckyL346364.8
Oct 24, 2026@Mississippi StateW469333.1
Oct 31, 2026vsSouth CarolinaL359368.6

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every game of its season between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 7.7 in 2025, plus 12.1 in 2026 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 79% in 2025, 67% in 2026 of the difference the model predicts.
  • Illinois State has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
  • 4 games in 2024 are neither with Tory Blaylock nor without Tory Blaylock: Tory Blaylock had no game for the team that season, and sit out.