Putting Up Numbers· college football

Oklahoma’s rushing yards with Tory Blaylock and without Tory Blaylock

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Oklahoma was 16.3 yards under with Tory Blaylock and 35.9 yards under without Tory Blaylock in 2026, 7 games against 1. The plain averages are 98.4 and 170.0, a difference of 71.6. Expected was 91.1 yards lower with Tory Blaylock than without Tory Blaylock. All 3 away games were with Tory Blaylock. Both night games were with Tory Blaylock. All 3 ranked opponents were with Tory Blaylock.

Tory Blaylock, running back: 148 rushing yards, 35 carries and 3 receptions in 7 games this season, 21% of Oklahoma’s rushing yards in those games.

One game without Tory Blaylock is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

rushing yards a game over expected

The games

with Tory Blaylockwithout Tory Blaylock
Oklahoma’s games, 2026, each marked with Tory Blaylock or without Tory Blaylock
SideDateGameResultrushing yardsExpected
Sep 4, 2026vsUTEPW170205.9
Sep 12, 2026@MichiganL100118.0
Sep 19, 2026vsNew MexicoW63150.1
Sep 26, 2026@GeorgiaL65108.4
Oct 10, 2026vsTexas (neutral)W8485.5
Oct 17, 2026vsKentuckyL76125.0
Oct 24, 2026@Mississippi StateW18695.4
Oct 31, 2026vsSouth CarolinaL115121.0

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 8.0 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 60% of the difference the model predicts.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.