Putting Up Numbers· college football

Oklahoma’s points of margin with Tory Blaylock and without Tory Blaylock

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Oklahoma was 2.2 points under with Tory Blaylock and 16.8 points over without Tory Blaylock in 2026, 7 games against 1. The plain averages are -5.9 and 51.0, a difference of 56.9. All 3 away games were with Tory Blaylock. Both night games were with Tory Blaylock. All 3 ranked opponents were with Tory Blaylock.

Tory Blaylock, running back: 148 rushing yards, 35 carries and 3 receptions in 7 games this season.

One game without Tory Blaylock is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

points of margin a game over expected

The games

with Tory Blaylockwithout Tory Blaylock
Oklahoma’s games, 2026, each marked with Tory Blaylock or without Tory Blaylock
SideDateGameResultpoints of marginExpected
Sep 4, 2026vsUTEPW5134.2
Sep 12, 2026@MichiganL-76.1
Sep 19, 2026vsNew MexicoW85.6
Sep 26, 2026@GeorgiaL-28-13.0
Oct 10, 2026vsTexas (neutral)W3-15.6
Oct 17, 2026vsKentuckyL-8-0.9
Oct 24, 2026@Mississippi StateW8-7.7
Oct 31, 2026vsSouth CarolinaL-17-0.4

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 3.7 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 79% of the difference the model predicts.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.