Putting Up Numbers· college football

Oklahoma’s pass attempts with Tory Blaylock and without Tory Blaylock

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Oklahoma was 1.8 pass attempts over with Tory Blaylock and 10.2 pass attempts under without Tory Blaylock in 2026, 7 games against 1. The plain averages are 33.0 and 19.0, a difference of 14.0. All 3 away games were with Tory Blaylock. Both night games were with Tory Blaylock. All 3 ranked opponents were with Tory Blaylock.

Tory Blaylock, running back: 148 rushing yards, 35 carries and 3 receptions in 7 games this season.

One game without Tory Blaylock is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

pass attempts a game over expected

The games

with Tory Blaylockwithout Tory Blaylock
Oklahoma’s games, 2026, each marked with Tory Blaylock or without Tory Blaylock
SideDateGameResultpass attemptsExpected
Sep 4, 2026vsUTEPW1929.2
Sep 12, 2026@MichiganL3327.6
Sep 19, 2026vsNew MexicoW2528.9
Sep 26, 2026@GeorgiaL3431.1
Oct 10, 2026vsTexas (neutral)W2632.8
Oct 17, 2026vsKentuckyL4134.4
Oct 24, 2026@Mississippi StateW2933.1
Oct 31, 2026vsSouth CarolinaL4330.4

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, minus 0.1 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 60% of the difference the model predicts.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.