Oklahoma’s carries with Tory Blaylock and without Tory Blaylock
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Oklahoma was 1.2 carries under with Tory Blaylock and 1.9 carries over without Tory Blaylock in 2026, 7 games against 1. The plain averages are 32.1 and 39.0, a difference of 6.9. All 3 away games were with Tory Blaylock. Both night games were with Tory Blaylock. All 3 ranked opponents were with Tory Blaylock.
Tory Blaylock, running back: 148 rushing yards, 35 carries and 3 receptions in 7 games this season, 16% of Oklahoma’s carries in those games.
One game without Tory Blaylock is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
carries a game over expected
with Tory Blaylock
−1.2
without Tory Blaylock
+1.9
-505
plain
32.1
39.0
3035
The games
with Tory Blaylockwithout Tory Blaylock
| Side | Date | Game | Result | carries | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2026 | vs UTEP | W | 39 | 37.1 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | @ Michigan | L | 29 | 35.0 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vs New Mexico | W | 30 | 35.5 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | @ Georgia | L | 35 | 31.5 | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | vs Texas (neutral) | W | 30 | 33.9 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | vs Kentucky | L | 31 | 31.8 | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | @ Mississippi State | W | 39 | 31.7 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | vs South Carolina | L | 31 | 34.0 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.6 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 61% of the difference the model predicts.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.