Putting Up Numbers· college football

Ohio State’s total yards with Devin McCuin and without Devin McCuin

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Ohio State was 42.5 yards over with Devin McCuin and 30.7 yards under without Devin McCuin in 2026, 7 games against 1. The plain averages are 479.4 and 449.0, a difference of 30.4. Expected was 42.8 yards lower with Devin McCuin than without Devin McCuin. All 4 away games were with Devin McCuin. All 3 ranked opponents were with Devin McCuin. Both top-10 opponents were with Devin McCuin.

Devin McCuin, receiver: 285 receiving yards, 20 receptions and 2 receiving touchdowns in 7 games this season.

One game without Devin McCuin is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

total yards a game over expected

The games

with Devin McCuinwithout Devin McCuin
Ohio State’s games, 2026, each marked with Devin McCuin or without Devin McCuin
SideDateGameResulttotal yardsExpected
Sep 5, 2026vsBall StateW671512.2
Sep 12, 2026@TexasL372334.8
Sep 19, 2026vsKent StateW527515.9
Sep 26, 2026vsIllinoisW520482.3
Oct 3, 2026@IowaW486387.8
Oct 10, 2026vsMarylandW449479.7
Oct 17, 2026@IndianaW316384.7
Oct 31, 2026@USCL464440.5

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 12.1 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 67% of the difference the model predicts.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 7 of these 8 games; in the other game a player is counted as in it when the box score has a stat for him.