Ohio State’s points with Julian Sayin and since Julian Sayin’s last game
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Ohio State was 6.7 points over with Julian Sayin and 17.5 points under since Julian Sayin’s last game in 2026, 7 games against 1. The plain averages are 39.3 and 18.0, a difference of 21.3. All 4 home games were with Julian Sayin. All 3 ranked opponents were with Julian Sayin. Both top-10 opponents were with Julian Sayin.
Julian Sayin, quarterback: 2,007 passing yards, 192 pass attempts and 131 completions in 7 games this season.
One game since Julian Sayin’s last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points a game over expected
with Julian Sayin
+6.7
since Julian Sayin’s last game
−17.5
-10010
plain
39.3
18.0
2040
The games
with Julian Sayinsince Julian Sayin’s last game
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | vs Ball State | W | 56 | 44.5 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | @ Texas | L | 23 | 21.8 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vs Kent State | W | 59 | 39.1 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vs Illinois | W | 42 | 34.5 | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | @ Iowa | W | 31 | 23.9 | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | vs Maryland | W | 45 | 40.2 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | @ Indiana | W | 19 | 24.3 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | @ USC | L | 18 | 35.5 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 1.9 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 66% of the difference the model predicts.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 7 of these 8 games; in the other game a player is counted as in it when the box score has a stat for him.
- With him means he was the team’s quarterback that game, at least half of its pass attempts; a game he left early or came into late reads as without him.