Ohio State’s points of margin with Devin McCuin and without Devin McCuin
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Ohio State was 5.5 points over with Devin McCuin and 1.4 points under without Devin McCuin over its last 25 games, 7 games against 1. The plain averages are 20.0 and 29.0, a difference of 9.0. Expected was 15.9 points lower with Devin McCuin than without Devin McCuin. All 4 away games were with Devin McCuin. All 3 ranked opponents were with Devin McCuin. Both top-10 opponents were with Devin McCuin.
Devin McCuin, receiver: 285 receiving yards, 20 receptions and 2 receiving touchdowns in 7 of those 25 games.
One game without Devin McCuin is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points of margin a game over expected
with Devin McCuin
+5.5
without Devin McCuin
−1.4
-200
plain
20.0
29.0
02040
The games
with Devin McCuinwithout Devin McCuin
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points of margin | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2025 | vs Oregon (neutral) | W | 20 | 5.3 | |
| Jan 10, 2025 | vs Texas (neutral) | W | 14 | 3.4 | |
| Jan 20, 2025 | vs Notre Dame (neutral) | W | 11 | 2.5 | |
| Aug 30, 2025 | vsTexas | W | 7 | 18.5 | |
| Sep 6, 2025 | vs Grambling State | W | 70 | — | |
| Sep 13, 2025 | vs Ohio | W | 28 | 35.5 | |
| Sep 27, 2025 | @ Washington | W | 18 | 7.2 | |
| Oct 4, 2025 | vs Minnesota | W | 39 | 28.5 | |
| Oct 11, 2025 | @ Illinois | W | 18 | 12.7 | |
| Oct 18, 2025 | @ Wisconsin | W | 34 | 19.6 | |
| Nov 1, 2025 | vs Penn State | W | 24 | 14.3 | |
| Nov 8, 2025 | @ Purdue | W | 24 | 27.6 | |
| Nov 15, 2025 | vs UCLA | W | 38 | 31.0 | |
| Nov 22, 2025 | vs Rutgers | W | 33 | 27.9 | |
| Nov 29, 2025 | @ Michigan | W | 18 | 10.8 | |
| Dec 6, 2025 | vs Indiana (neutral) | L | -3 | -7.5 | |
| Dec 31, 2025 | vs Miami (FL) (neutral) | L | -10 | 6.6 | |
| Sep 5, 2026 | vs Ball State | W | 53 | 38.0 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | @Texas | L | -1 | -6.4 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vs Kent State | W | 56 | 39.1 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vsIllinois | W | 23 | 18.1 | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | @ Iowa | W | 17 | 1.4 | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | vs Maryland | W | 29 | 30.4 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | @Indiana | W | 4 | 0.4 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | @ USC | L | -12 | 11.2 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 3.7 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 79% of the difference the model predicts.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 7 of these 8 games; in the other game a player is counted as in it when the box score has a stat for him.
- 17 games in 2024 and 2025 are neither with Devin McCuin nor without Devin McCuin: Devin McCuin had no game for the team those seasons, and sit out.