Ohio State’s points allowed with Devin McCuin and without Devin McCuin
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Ohio State was 4.3 points under with Devin McCuin and 1.4 points over without Devin McCuin in 2026, 7 games against 1. The plain averages are 15.4 and 16.0, a difference of 0.6. Expected was 5.2 points higher with Devin McCuin than without Devin McCuin. All 4 away games were with Devin McCuin. All 3 ranked opponents were with Devin McCuin. Both top-10 opponents were with Devin McCuin.
Devin McCuin, receiver: 285 receiving yards, 20 receptions and 2 receiving touchdowns in 7 games this season.
One game without Devin McCuin is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points allowed a game over expected
with Devin McCuin
−4.3
without Devin McCuin
+1.4
-10-50
plain
15.4
16.0
102030
The games
with Devin McCuinwithout Devin McCuin
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points allowed | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | vs Ball State | W | 3 | 13.7 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | @ Texas | L | 24 | 26.7 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vs Kent State | W | 3 | 6.3 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vs Illinois | W | 19 | 19.1 | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | @ Iowa | W | 14 | 22.6 | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | vs Maryland | W | 16 | 14.6 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | @ Indiana | W | 15 | 24.0 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | @ USC | L | 30 | 26.1 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, minus 1.9 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 66% of the difference the model predicts.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 7 of these 8 games; in the other game a player is counted as in it when the box score has a stat for him.