Putting Up Numbers· college football

Ohio State’s penalty yards with Julian Sayin and since Julian Sayin’s last game

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Ohio State was 4.8 yards under with Julian Sayin and 18.3 yards over since Julian Sayin’s last game in 2026, 7 games against 1. The plain averages are 51.1 and 71.0, a difference of 19.9. All 4 home games were with Julian Sayin. All 3 ranked opponents were with Julian Sayin. Both top-10 opponents were with Julian Sayin.

Julian Sayin, quarterback: 2,007 passing yards, 192 pass attempts and 131 completions in 7 games this season.

One game since Julian Sayin’s last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

penalty yards a game over expected

The games

with Julian Sayinsince Julian Sayin’s last game
Ohio State’s games, 2026, each marked with Julian Sayin or since Julian Sayin’s last game
SideDateGameResultpenalty yardsExpected
Sep 5, 2026vsBall StateW8152.9
Sep 12, 2026@TexasL3554.5
Sep 19, 2026vsKent StateW1963.7
Sep 26, 2026vsIllinoisW5956.3
Oct 3, 2026@IowaW4956.4
Oct 10, 2026vsMarylandW6557.5
Oct 17, 2026@IndianaW5050.5
Oct 31, 2026@USCL7152.7

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, minus 1.3 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 27% of the difference the model predicts.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 7 of these 8 games; in the other game a player is counted as in it when the box score has a stat for him.
  • With him means he was the team’s quarterback that game, at least half of its pass attempts; a game he left early or came into late reads as without him.