Ohio State’s carries with Devin McCuin and without Devin McCuin
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Ohio State was 0.1 carries under with Devin McCuin and 10.4 carries over without Devin McCuin over its last 25 games, 7 games against 1. The plain averages are 36.9 and 48.0, a difference of 11.1. All 4 away games were with Devin McCuin. All 3 ranked opponents were with Devin McCuin. Both top-10 opponents were with Devin McCuin.
Devin McCuin, receiver: 285 receiving yards, 20 receptions and 2 receiving touchdowns in 7 of those 25 games.
One game without Devin McCuin is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
carries a game over expected
with Devin McCuin
−0.1
without Devin McCuin
+10.4
-50510
plain
36.9
48.0
30354045
The games
with Devin McCuinwithout Devin McCuin
| Side | Date | Game | Result | carries | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2025 | vs Oregon (neutral) | W | 31 | 31.7 | |
| Jan 10, 2025 | vs Texas (neutral) | W | 23 | 33.8 | |
| Jan 20, 2025 | vs Notre Dame (neutral) | W | 41 | 33.7 | |
| Aug 30, 2025 | vsTexas | W | 31 | 34.9 | |
| Sep 6, 2025 | vs Grambling State | W | 38 | — | |
| Sep 13, 2025 | vs Ohio | W | 30 | 33.9 | |
| Sep 27, 2025 | @ Washington | W | 34 | 31.3 | |
| Oct 4, 2025 | vs Minnesota | W | 29 | 35.1 | |
| Oct 11, 2025 | @ Illinois | W | 35 | 32.1 | |
| Oct 18, 2025 | @ Wisconsin | W | 26 | 33.2 | |
| Nov 1, 2025 | vs Penn State | W | 30 | 35.6 | |
| Nov 8, 2025 | @ Purdue | W | 43 | 36.3 | |
| Nov 15, 2025 | vs UCLA | W | 33 | 36.7 | |
| Nov 22, 2025 | vs Rutgers | W | 36 | 31.6 | |
| Nov 29, 2025 | @ Michigan | W | 46 | 32.5 | |
| Dec 6, 2025 | vs Indiana (neutral) | L | 26 | 27.6 | |
| Dec 31, 2025 | vs Miami (FL) (neutral) | L | 24 | 31.3 | |
| Sep 5, 2026 | vs Ball State | W | 35 | 40.9 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | @Texas | L | 31 | 35.8 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vs Kent State | W | 38 | 37.3 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vsIllinois | W | 30 | 38.3 | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | @ Iowa | W | 46 | 35.0 | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | vs Maryland | W | 48 | 37.6 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | @Indiana | W | 35 | 36.2 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | @ USC | L | 43 | 35.2 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.7 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 61% of the difference the model predicts.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 7 of these 8 games; in the other game a player is counted as in it when the box score has a stat for him.
- 17 games in 2024 and 2025 are neither with Devin McCuin nor without Devin McCuin: Devin McCuin had no game for the team those seasons, and sit out.