Navy’s third-down conversion rate with Jackson Gutierrez and without Jackson Gutierrez
, ,
Navy averaged 39.3% third-down conversion rate with Jackson Gutierrez and 58.3% without Jackson Gutierrez in 2026, 7 games against 1, a difference of 19.0%. All 4 away games were with Jackson Gutierrez. Both night games were with Jackson Gutierrez. All 7 major-college opponents were with Jackson Gutierrez.
Jackson Gutierrez, quarterback: 740 passing yards, 72 pass attempts and 37 completions in 8 games this season.
One game without Jackson Gutierrez is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
third-down conversion rate a game
with Jackson Gutierrez
39.3%
without Jackson Gutierrez
58.3%
20%40%60%
The games
with Jackson Gutierrezwithout Jackson Gutierrez
| Side | Date | Game | Result | 3rd downs | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | vsTTowson | W | 58.3% | — | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | @ Florida Atlantic | L | 27.3% | 43.2% | |
| Sep 25, 2026 | @ UAB | L | 46.7% | 40.2% | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | @ Air Force | L | 9.1% | 43.0% | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | vs Tulsa | W | 72.7% | 35.9% | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | @ UTSA | L | 44.4% | 35.2% | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | vs North Texas | L | 41.7% | 40.0% | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | vs Notre Dame (neutral) | L | 33.3% | 37.5% |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 1.4% for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Towson has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
- With him means he was the team’s quarterback that game, at least half of its pass attempts; a game he left early or came into late reads as without him.