Navy’s third-down conversion rate with Charles Robinson and without Charles Robinson
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Navy averaged 46.8% third-down conversion rate with Charles Robinson and 58.3% without Charles Robinson over its last 25 games, 20 games against 1, a difference of 11.5%. All 9 away games were with Charles Robinson. All 3 neutral-site games were with Charles Robinson. All 4 night games were with Charles Robinson.
Charles Robinson, receiver: 106 receiving yards, 12 receptions and 1 receiving touchdown in 13 of those 25 games.
One game without Charles Robinson is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
third-down conversion rate a game
with Charles Robinson
46.8%
without Charles Robinson
58.3%
20%40%60%
The games
with Charles Robinsonwithout Charles Robinson
| Side | Date | Game | Result | 3rd downs | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2024 | vs Tulane | L | 9.1% | 36.4% | |
| Nov 29, 2024 | @ East Carolina | W | 47.1% | 40.2% | |
| Dec 14, 2024 | vs Army (neutral) | W | 53.8% | 38.9% | |
| Dec 27, 2024 | vs Oklahoma (neutral) | W | 30.8% | 34.4% | |
| Aug 30, 2025 | vs VMI | W | 76.9% | — | |
| Sep 6, 2025 | vs UAB | W | 44.4% | 47.9% | |
| Sep 13, 2025 | @ Tulsa | W | 61.5% | 43.0% | |
| Sep 27, 2025 | vs Rice | W | 58.3% | 43.3% | |
| Oct 4, 2025 | vs Air Force | W | 45.5% | 50.7% | |
| Oct 11, 2025 | @ Temple | W | 27.3% | 44.9% | |
| Oct 25, 2025 | vs Florida Atlantic | W | 54.5% | 47.3% | |
| Nov 1, 2025 | @ North Texas | L | 54.5% | 45.7% | |
| Nov 8, 2025 | @ Notre Dame | L | 27.3% | 38.1% | |
| Nov 15, 2025 | vs South Florida | W | 35.7% | 44.9% | |
| Nov 27, 2025 | @ Memphis | W | 53.3% | 41.8% | |
| Dec 13, 2025 | vsArmy (neutral) | W | 61.1% | 43.8% | |
| Jan 2, 2026 | vs Cincinnati (neutral) | W | 60.0% | 42.4% | |
| Sep 5, 2026 | vsTTowson | W | 58.3% | — | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | @Florida Atlantic | L | 27.3% | 43.2% | |
| Sep 25, 2026 | @UAB | L | 46.7% | 40.2% | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | @Air Force | L | 9.1% | 43.0% | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | vsTulsa | W | 72.7% | 35.9% | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | @ UTSA | L | 44.4% | 35.2% | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | vsNorth Texas | L | 41.7% | 40.0% | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | vsNotre Dame (neutral) | L | 33.3% | 37.5% |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every game of its season between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.7% in 2025, plus 1.4% in 2026 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- VMI, Towson have no other game in the table, so those games have no expected number and sit out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
- 4 games in 2024 are neither with Charles Robinson nor without Charles Robinson: Charles Robinson had no game for the team that season, and sit out.