Putting Up Numbers· college football

Navy’s third-down conversion rate with Charles Robinson and without Charles Robinson

, ,

Navy averaged 39.3% third-down conversion rate with Charles Robinson and 58.3% without Charles Robinson in 2026, 7 games against 1, a difference of 19.0%. All 4 away games were with Charles Robinson. Both night games were with Charles Robinson. All 7 major-college opponents were with Charles Robinson.

Charles Robinson, receiver: 85 receiving yards, 10 receptions and 1 receiving touchdown in 7 games this season.

One game without Charles Robinson is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

third-down conversion rate a game

The games

with Charles Robinsonwithout Charles Robinson
Navy’s games, 2026, each marked with Charles Robinson or without Charles Robinson
SideDateGameResult3rd downsExpected
Sep 5, 2026vsTTowsonW58.3%—
Sep 12, 2026@Florida AtlanticL27.3%43.2%
Sep 25, 2026@UABL46.7%40.2%
Oct 3, 2026@Air ForceL9.1%43.0%
Oct 10, 2026vsTulsaW72.7%35.9%
Oct 17, 2026@UTSAL44.4%35.3%
Oct 24, 2026vsNorth TexasL41.7%40.0%
Oct 31, 2026vsNotre Dame (neutral)L33.3%37.6%

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 1.4% for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Towson has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.