Putting Up Numbers· college football

Navy’s third-down conversion rate with Braxton Woodson and since Braxton Woodson’s last game

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Navy averaged 58.3% third-down conversion rate with Braxton Woodson and 39.3% since Braxton Woodson’s last game in 2026, 1 game against 7, a difference of 19.0%. All 4 away games were since Braxton Woodson’s last game. Both night games were since Braxton Woodson’s last game. All 7 major-college opponents were since Braxton Woodson’s last game.

Braxton Woodson, quarterback: 152 passing yards, 25 pass attempts and 10 completions in 6 games this season.

One game with Braxton Woodson is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

third-down conversion rate a game

The games

with Braxton Woodsonsince Braxton Woodson’s last game
Navy’s games, 2026, each marked with Braxton Woodson or since Braxton Woodson’s last game
SideDateGameResult3rd downsExpected
Sep 5, 2026vsTTowsonW58.3%—
Sep 12, 2026@Florida AtlanticL27.3%43.2%
Sep 25, 2026@UABL46.7%40.2%
Oct 3, 2026@Air ForceL9.1%43.0%
Oct 10, 2026vsTulsaW72.7%35.9%
Oct 17, 2026@UTSAL44.4%35.3%
Oct 24, 2026vsNorth TexasL41.7%40.0%
Oct 31, 2026vsNotre Dame (neutral)L33.3%37.6%

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 1.4% for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Towson has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
  • With him means he was the team’s quarterback that game, at least half of its pass attempts; a game he left early or came into late reads as without him.