Putting Up Numbers· college football

Missouri’s yards a carry with Ahmad Hardy and without Ahmad Hardy

, ,

Missouri averaged 5.46 yards a carry with Ahmad Hardy and 4.52 without Ahmad Hardy over its last 25 games, 14 games against 7, a difference of 0.94. All 4 games while unranked were with Ahmad Hardy. All 3 games after a bye were with Ahmad Hardy.

Ahmad Hardy, running back: 1,691 rushing yards, 259 carries and 6 receptions in 14 of those 25 games.

yards a carry a game

A +0.94 difference in yards a carry with Ahmad Hardy vs without Ahmad Hardy is about what you’d expect.

The games

with Ahmad Hardywithout Ahmad Hardy
Missouri’s games, last 25 games, each marked with Ahmad Hardy or without Ahmad Hardy
SideDateGameResultyards a carryExpected
Nov 16, 2024@South CarolinaL3.89—
Nov 23, 2024@Mississippi StateW3.91—
Nov 30, 2024vsArkansasW4.11—
Dec 30, 2024vsIowa (neutral)W2.94—
Aug 28, 2025vsCCentral ArkansasW5.97—
Sep 6, 2025vsKansasW5.55—
Sep 13, 2025vsLouisianaW6.89—
Sep 20, 2025vsSouth CarolinaW6.24—
Sep 27, 2025vsUMassW5.15—
Oct 11, 2025vsAlabamaL5.82—
Oct 18, 2025@AuburnW2.14—
Oct 25, 2025@VanderbiltL4.15—
Nov 8, 2025vsTexas A&ML6.09—
Nov 15, 2025vsMississippi StateW8.86—
Nov 22, 2025@OklahomaL2—
Nov 29, 2025@ArkansasW6.34—
Dec 27, 2025vsVirginia (neutral)L4.97—
Sep 3, 2026vsAArkansas-Pine BluffW4.56—
Sep 11, 2026@KansasW4.45—
Sep 19, 2026vsTroyW5.19—
Sep 26, 2026@Mississippi StateL3.40—
Oct 3, 2026vsFloridaW6.53—
Oct 10, 2026vsTexas A&MW6.05—
Oct 17, 2026@Ole MissL1.50—
Oct 31, 2026@ArkansasW6.26—

Method

Read against .

  • The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 11 of these 21 games; in the other 10 a player is counted as in them when the box score has a stat for him.
  • 4 games in 2024 are neither with Ahmad Hardy nor without Ahmad Hardy: Ahmad Hardy had no game for the team that season, and sit out.