
Missouri’s yards a carry with Ahmad Hardy and without Ahmad Hardy
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Missouri averaged 5.46 yards a carry with Ahmad Hardy and 4.52 without Ahmad Hardy over its last 25 games, 14 games against 7, a difference of 0.94. All 4 games while unranked were with Ahmad Hardy. All 3 games after a bye were with Ahmad Hardy.
Ahmad Hardy, running back: 1,691 rushing yards, 259 carries and 6 receptions in 14 of those 25 games.
yards a carry a game
with Ahmad Hardy
5.46
without Ahmad Hardy
4.52
2468
A +0.94 difference in yards a carry with Ahmad Hardy vs without Ahmad Hardy is about what you’d expect.
The games
with Ahmad Hardywithout Ahmad Hardy
| Side | Date | Game | Result | yards a carry | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2024 | @ | L | 3.89 | — | |
| Nov 23, 2024 | @ | W | 3.91 | — | |
| Nov 30, 2024 | vs | W | 4.11 | — | |
| Dec 30, 2024 | vs | W | 2.94 | — | |
| Aug 28, 2025 | vsCCentral Arkansas | W | 5.97 | — | |
| Sep 6, 2025 | vs | W | 5.55 | — | |
| Sep 13, 2025 | vs | W | 6.89 | — | |
| Sep 20, 2025 | vs | W | 6.24 | — | |
| Sep 27, 2025 | vs | W | 5.15 | — | |
| Oct 11, 2025 | vs | L | 5.82 | — | |
| Oct 18, 2025 | @ | W | 2.14 | — | |
| Oct 25, 2025 | @ | L | 4.15 | — | |
| Nov 8, 2025 | vs | L | 6.09 | — | |
| Nov 15, 2025 | vs | W | 8.86 | — | |
| Nov 22, 2025 | @ | L | 2 | — | |
| Nov 29, 2025 | @ | W | 6.34 | — | |
| Dec 27, 2025 | vs | L | 4.97 | — | |
| Sep 3, 2026 | vsAArkansas-Pine Bluff | W | 4.56 | — | |
| Sep 11, 2026 | @ | W | 4.45 | — | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vs | W | 5.19 | — | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | @ | L | 3.40 | — | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | vs | W | 6.53 | — | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | vs | W | 6.05 | — | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | @ | L | 1.50 | — | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | @ | W | 6.26 | — |
Method
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 11 of these 21 games; in the other 10 a player is counted as in them when the box score has a stat for him.
- 4 games in 2024 are neither with Ahmad Hardy nor without Ahmad Hardy: Ahmad Hardy had no game for the team that season, and sit out.