Putting Up Numbers· college football

Missouri’s rushing yards with Xai'Shaun Edwards and since Xai'Shaun Edwards’ last game

, ,

Against what the season’s ratings expected, Missouri was 4.1 yards under with Xai'Shaun Edwards and 64.1 yards over since Xai'Shaun Edwards’ last game over its last 25 games, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 165.3 and 213.0, a difference of 47.7. All 4 home games were with Xai'Shaun Edwards. All 5 day games were with Xai'Shaun Edwards. All 3 ranked opponents were with Xai'Shaun Edwards.

Xai'Shaun Edwards, running back: 146 rushing yards, 39 carries and 2 receptions in 7 of those 25 games, 13% of Missouri’s rushing yards in those games.

One game since Xai'Shaun Edwards’ last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

rushing yards a game over expected

The games

with Xai'Shaun Edwardssince Xai'Shaun Edwards’ last game
Missouri’s games, last 25 games, each marked with Xai'Shaun Edwards or since Xai'Shaun Edwards’ last game
SideDateGameResultrushing yardsExpected
Nov 16, 2024@South CarolinaL144131.3
Nov 23, 2024@Mississippi StateW207212.7
Nov 30, 2024vsArkansasW193157.4
Dec 30, 2024vsIowa (neutral)W91162.6
Aug 28, 2025vsCCentral ArkansasW221—
Sep 6, 2025vsKansasW261235.1
Sep 13, 2025vsLouisianaW427247.6
Sep 20, 2025vsSouth CarolinaW287199.0
Sep 27, 2025vsUMassW268310.6
Oct 11, 2025vsAlabamaL163203.5
Oct 18, 2025@AuburnW92172.8
Oct 25, 2025@VanderbiltL170183.8
Nov 8, 2025vsTexas A&ML207203.6
Nov 15, 2025vsMississippi StateW328231.8
Nov 22, 2025@OklahomaL70163.5
Nov 29, 2025@ArkansasW355223.8
Dec 27, 2025vsVirginia (neutral)L159202.5
Sep 3, 2026vsAArkansas-Pine BluffW205—
Sep 11, 2026@KansasW178181.6
Sep 19, 2026vsTroyW140196.8
Sep 26, 2026@Mississippi StateL119141.7
Oct 3, 2026vsFloridaW222136.5
Oct 10, 2026vsTexas A&MW254138.5
Oct 17, 2026@Ole MissL39181.3
Oct 31, 2026@ArkansasW213148.9

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 8.0 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 60% of the difference the model predicts.
  • Arkansas-Pine Bluff has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 5 of these 8 games; in the other 3 a player is counted as in them when the box score has a stat for him.
  • 17 games in 2024 and 2025 are neither with Xai'Shaun Edwards nor since Xai'Shaun Edwards’ last game: Xai'Shaun Edwards had no game for the team those seasons, and sit out.