Missouri’s points of margin with Xai'Shaun Edwards and since Xai'Shaun Edwards’ last game
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Missouri was 0.3 points under with Xai'Shaun Edwards and 16.0 points over since Xai'Shaun Edwards’ last game over its last 25 games, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 11.6 and 24.0, a difference of 12.4. All 4 home games were with Xai'Shaun Edwards. All 5 day games were with Xai'Shaun Edwards. All 3 ranked opponents were with Xai'Shaun Edwards.
Xai'Shaun Edwards, running back: 146 rushing yards, 39 carries and 2 receptions in 7 of those 25 games.
One game since Xai'Shaun Edwards’ last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points of margin a game over expected
with Xai'Shaun Edwards
−0.3
since Xai'Shaun Edwards’ last game
+16.0
-20020
plain
11.6
24.0
-2002040
The games
with Xai'Shaun Edwardssince Xai'Shaun Edwards’ last game
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points of margin | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2024 | @ South Carolina | L | -4 | -11.0 | |
| Nov 23, 2024 | @ Mississippi State | W | 19 | 6.9 | |
| Nov 30, 2024 | vs Arkansas | W | 7 | 5.5 | |
| Dec 30, 2024 | vs Iowa (neutral) | W | 3 | -3.4 | |
| Aug 28, 2025 | vsCCentral Arkansas | W | 55 | — | |
| Sep 6, 2025 | vs Kansas | W | 11 | 9.5 | |
| Sep 13, 2025 | vs Louisiana | W | 42 | 24.4 | |
| Sep 20, 2025 | vsSouth Carolina | W | 9 | 6.8 | |
| Sep 27, 2025 | vs UMass | W | 36 | 49.5 | |
| Oct 11, 2025 | vs Alabama | L | -3 | -3.9 | |
| Oct 18, 2025 | @ Auburn | W | 6 | -1.8 | |
| Oct 25, 2025 | @ Vanderbilt | L | -7 | -9.9 | |
| Nov 8, 2025 | vs Texas A&M | L | -21 | -1.0 | |
| Nov 15, 2025 | vsMississippi State | W | 22 | 9.4 | |
| Nov 22, 2025 | @ Oklahoma | L | -11 | -6.7 | |
| Nov 29, 2025 | @Arkansas | W | 14 | 1.1 | |
| Dec 27, 2025 | vs Virginia (neutral) | L | -6 | 2.5 | |
| Sep 3, 2026 | vsAArkansas-Pine Bluff | W | 40 | — | |
| Sep 11, 2026 | @Kansas | W | 17 | 5.5 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vs Troy | W | 10 | 34.3 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | @Mississippi State | L | -7 | 5.2 | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | vs Florida | W | 28 | -3.1 | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | vsTexas A&M | W | 21 | 2.1 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | @ Ole Miss | L | -28 | -1.3 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | @Arkansas | W | 24 | 8.0 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 3.7 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 79% of the difference the model predicts.
- Arkansas-Pine Bluff has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 5 of these 8 games; in the other 3 a player is counted as in them when the box score has a stat for him.
- 17 games in 2024 and 2025 are neither with Xai'Shaun Edwards nor since Xai'Shaun Edwards’ last game: Xai'Shaun Edwards had no game for the team those seasons, and sit out.