Putting Up Numbers· college football

Missouri’s points allowed with Xai'Shaun Edwards and since Xai'Shaun Edwards’ last game

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Missouri was 1.3 points under with Xai'Shaun Edwards and 9.4 points under since Xai'Shaun Edwards’ last game over its last 25 games, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 19.6 and 10.0, a difference of 9.6. All 4 home games were with Xai'Shaun Edwards. All 5 day games were with Xai'Shaun Edwards. All 3 ranked opponents were with Xai'Shaun Edwards.

Xai'Shaun Edwards, running back: 146 rushing yards, 39 carries and 2 receptions in 7 of those 25 games.

One game since Xai'Shaun Edwards’ last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

points allowed a game over expected

The games

with Xai'Shaun Edwardssince Xai'Shaun Edwards’ last game
Missouri’s games, last 25 games, each marked with Xai'Shaun Edwards or since Xai'Shaun Edwards’ last game
SideDateGameResultpoints allowedExpected
Nov 16, 2024@South CarolinaL3426.8
Nov 23, 2024@Mississippi StateW2024.6
Nov 30, 2024vsArkansasW2123.3
Dec 30, 2024vsIowa (neutral)W2425.5
Aug 28, 2025vsCCentral ArkansasW6—
Sep 6, 2025vsKansasW3119.7
Sep 13, 2025vsLouisianaW1012.9
Sep 20, 2025vsSouth CarolinaW2017.0
Sep 27, 2025vsUMassW61.8
Oct 11, 2025vsAlabamaL2725.0
Oct 18, 2025@AuburnW1720.8
Oct 25, 2025@VanderbiltL1735.6
Nov 8, 2025vsTexas A&ML3825.5
Nov 15, 2025vsMississippi StateW2721.0
Nov 22, 2025@OklahomaL1724.0
Nov 29, 2025@ArkansasW1730.0
Dec 27, 2025vsVirginia (neutral)L1322.7
Sep 3, 2026vsAArkansas-Pine BluffW14—
Sep 11, 2026@KansasW2120.9
Sep 19, 2026vsTroyW179.2
Sep 26, 2026@Mississippi StateL3122.3
Oct 3, 2026vsFloridaW1727.4
Oct 10, 2026vsTexas A&MW621.9
Oct 17, 2026@Ole MissL3129.2
Oct 31, 2026@ArkansasW1019.4

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, minus 1.9 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 66% of the difference the model predicts.
  • Arkansas-Pine Bluff has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 5 of these 8 games; in the other 3 a player is counted as in them when the box score has a stat for him.
  • 17 games in 2024 and 2025 are neither with Xai'Shaun Edwards nor since Xai'Shaun Edwards’ last game: Xai'Shaun Edwards had no game for the team those seasons, and sit out.