Putting Up Numbers· college football

Miami (FL)’s total yards with Vandrevius Jacobs and without Vandrevius Jacobs

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Miami (FL) was 86.4 yards over with Vandrevius Jacobs and 2.0 yards over without Vandrevius Jacobs in 2026, 3 games against 4. The plain averages are 629.3 and 443.3, a difference of 186.0. All 4 home games were with Vandrevius Jacobs. All 4 away games were without Vandrevius Jacobs. Both day games were with Vandrevius Jacobs.

Vandrevius Jacobs, receiver: 150 receiving yards, 9 receptions and 1 receiving touchdown in 4 games this season.

total yards a game over expected

A +84.4 difference in total yards over expected with Vandrevius Jacobs vs without Vandrevius Jacobs is unusual: shuffle which games were with Vandrevius Jacobs and it comes up 5 times in 100.

A +186.0 difference in total yards with Vandrevius Jacobs vs without Vandrevius Jacobs is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were with Vandrevius Jacobs and it comes up 5 times in 100.

The games

with Vandrevius Jacobswithout Vandrevius Jacobs
Miami (FL)’s games, 2026, each marked with Vandrevius Jacobs or without Vandrevius Jacobs
SideDateGameResulttotal yardsExpected
Sep 4, 2026@StanfordW550487.0
Sep 10, 2026vsFlorida A&MW856—
Sep 18, 2026@Wake ForestW380414.6
Sep 26, 2026vsCentral MichiganW572494.8
Oct 3, 2026@ClemsonW419407.2
Oct 17, 2026vsFlorida StateW583483.7
Oct 24, 2026vsPittsburghW506423.3
Oct 31, 2026@North CarolinaW424456.1

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 12.1 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 67% of the difference the model predicts.
  • The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
  • Florida A&M has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 4 of these 8 games; in the other 4 a player is counted as in them when the box score has a stat for him.