Putting Up Numbers· college football

Miami (FL)’s rushing yards with Girard Pringle Jr. and since Girard Pringle Jr.’s last game

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Miami (FL) was 12.9 yards over with Girard Pringle Jr. and 25.5 yards under since Girard Pringle Jr.’s last game in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 211.6 and 150.0, a difference of 61.6. All 4 home games were with Girard Pringle Jr.. Both day games were with Girard Pringle Jr.. Both nonconference games were with Girard Pringle Jr..

Girard Pringle Jr., running back: 86 rushing yards, 29 carries and 4 receptions in 7 games this season, 6% of Miami (FL)’s rushing yards in those games.

One game since Girard Pringle Jr.’s last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

rushing yards a game over expected

The games

with Girard Pringle Jr.since Girard Pringle Jr.’s last game
Miami (FL)’s games, 2026, each marked with Girard Pringle Jr. or since Girard Pringle Jr.’s last game
SideDateGameResultrushing yardsExpected
Sep 4, 2026@StanfordW122208.8
Sep 10, 2026vsFlorida A&MW430—
Sep 18, 2026@Wake ForestW160116.5
Sep 26, 2026vsCentral MichiganW201197.9
Oct 3, 2026@ClemsonW192149.6
Oct 17, 2026vsFlorida StateW257173.9
Oct 24, 2026vsPittsburghW119126.7
Oct 31, 2026@North CarolinaW150175.5

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 8.0 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 60% of the difference the model predicts.
  • Florida A&M has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 4 of these 8 games; in the other 4 a player is counted as in them when the box score has a stat for him.