Miami (FL)’s points of margin with Romanas Frederique Jr. and since Romanas Frederique Jr.’s last game
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Miami (FL) was 9.2 points over with Romanas Frederique Jr. and 4.4 points over since Romanas Frederique Jr.’s last game in 2026, 1 game against 6. The plain averages are 39.0 and 28.6, a difference of 10.4. Expected was 12.5 points higher with Romanas Frederique Jr. than since Romanas Frederique Jr.’s last game. All 4 home games were since Romanas Frederique Jr.’s last game. Both day games were since Romanas Frederique Jr.’s last game. All 5 games while in the top 5 were since Romanas Frederique Jr.’s last game.
Romanas Frederique Jr., defender: 1 game this season.
One game with Romanas Frederique Jr. is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points of margin a game over expected
with Romanas Frederique Jr.
+9.2
since Romanas Frederique Jr.’s last game
+4.4
-10010
plain
39.0
28.6
204060
The games
with Romanas Frederique Jr.since Romanas Frederique Jr.’s last game
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points of margin | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2026 | @ Stanford | W | 39 | 29.8 | |
| Sep 10, 2026 | vs Florida A&M | W | 70 | — | |
| Sep 18, 2026 | @ Wake Forest | W | 13 | 1.2 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vs Central Michigan | W | 49 | 32.8 | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | @ Clemson | W | 28 | 12.4 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | vs Florida State | W | 8 | 25.0 | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | vs Pittsburgh | W | 29 | 18.5 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | @ North Carolina | W | 3 | 14.0 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 3.7 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 79% of the difference the model predicts.
- Florida A&M has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 4 of these 8 games; in the other 4 a player is counted as in them when the box score has a stat for him.