Miami (FL)’s carries with Girard Pringle Jr. and since Girard Pringle Jr.’s last game
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Miami (FL) was 0.9 carries over with Girard Pringle Jr. and 5.2 carries under since Girard Pringle Jr.’s last game in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 36.7 and 32.0, a difference of 4.7. All 4 home games were with Girard Pringle Jr.. Both day games were with Girard Pringle Jr.. Both nonconference games were with Girard Pringle Jr..
Girard Pringle Jr., running back: 86 rushing yards, 29 carries and 4 receptions in 7 games this season, 11% of Miami (FL)’s carries in those games.
One game since Girard Pringle Jr.’s last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
carries a game over expected
with Girard Pringle Jr.
+0.9
since Girard Pringle Jr.’s last game
−5.2
-50510
plain
36.7
32.0
3540
The games
with Girard Pringle Jr.since Girard Pringle Jr.’s last game
| Side | Date | Game | Result | carries | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2026 | @ Stanford | W | 31 | 36.9 | |
| Sep 10, 2026 | vs Florida A&M | W | 43 | — | |
| Sep 18, 2026 | @ Wake Forest | W | 31 | 32.3 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vs Central Michigan | W | 34 | 38.8 | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | @ Clemson | W | 35 | 34.9 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | vs Florida State | W | 44 | 33.7 | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | vs Pittsburgh | W | 39 | 32.0 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | @ North Carolina | W | 32 | 37.2 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.6 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 61% of the difference the model predicts.
- Florida A&M has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 4 of these 8 games; in the other 4 a player is counted as in them when the box score has a stat for him.