Maryland’s rushing yards with DeJuan Williams and without DeJuan Williams
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Maryland was 6.4 yards under with DeJuan Williams and 63.7 yards under without DeJuan Williams in 2026, 5 games against 2. The plain averages are 154.7 and 52.0, a difference of 102.7. All 3 away games were with DeJuan Williams. All 4 second-half games were with DeJuan Williams.
DeJuan Williams, running back: 338 rushing yards, 57 carries and 10 receptions in 6 games this season, 36% of Maryland’s rushing yards in those games.
2 games without DeJuan Williams is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
rushing yards a game over expected
A +57.3 difference in rushing yards over expected with DeJuan Williams vs without DeJuan Williams is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were with DeJuan Williams and it comes up 18 times in 100.
A +102.7 difference in rushing yards with DeJuan Williams vs without DeJuan Williams is about what you’d expect.
The games
| Side | Date | Game | Result | rushing yards | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | vsHHampton | W | 365 | — | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | @ UConn | W | 125 | 101.2 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vs Virginia Tech | L | 64 | 118.8 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vs UCLA | L | 40 | 112.6 | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | @ Nebraska | L | 141 | 82.0 | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | @ Ohio State | L | 82 | 90.2 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | vs Rutgers | L | 117 | 179.2 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | vs Illinois | L | 98 | 142.3 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 8.1 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 60% of the difference the model predicts.
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
- Hampton has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.