LSU’s yards a carry with Caden Durham and without Caden Durham
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LSU averaged 4.15 yards a carry with Caden Durham and 3.56 without Caden Durham over its last 25 games, 20 games against 5, a difference of 0.59. Both neutral-site games were with Caden Durham. Both opponents outside the major colleges were with Caden Durham. All 8 games while unranked were with Caden Durham.
Caden Durham, running back: 834 rushing yards, 182 carries and 26 receptions in 20 of those 25 games.
yards a carry a game
with Caden Durham
4.15
without Caden Durham
3.56
46
A +0.59 difference in yards a carry with Caden Durham vs without Caden Durham is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were with Caden Durham and it comes up 8 times in 100.
The games
with Caden Durhamwithout Caden Durham
| Side | Date | Game | Result | yards a carry | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2024 | @ Florida | L | 2.91 | — | |
| Nov 23, 2024 | vs Vanderbilt | W | 4.90 | — | |
| Nov 30, 2024 | vs Oklahoma | W | 3.79 | — | |
| Dec 31, 2024 | vs Baylor (neutral) | W | 4.22 | — | |
| Aug 30, 2025 | @ Clemson | W | 3.79 | — | |
| Sep 6, 2025 | vs Louisiana Tech | W | 3.91 | — | |
| Sep 13, 2025 | vsFlorida | W | 4.64 | — | |
| Sep 20, 2025 | vsSS E Louisiana | W | 3.86 | — | |
| Sep 27, 2025 | @ Ole Miss | L | 2.81 | — | |
| Oct 11, 2025 | vs South Carolina | W | 6 | — | |
| Oct 18, 2025 | @Vanderbilt | L | 4.76 | — | |
| Oct 25, 2025 | vs Texas A&M | L | 2.22 | — | |
| Nov 8, 2025 | @ Alabama | L | 2.40 | — | |
| Nov 15, 2025 | vs Arkansas | W | 4.71 | — | |
| Nov 22, 2025 | vs Western Kentucky | W | 3.66 | — | |
| Nov 29, 2025 | @Oklahoma | L | 2.93 | — | |
| Dec 27, 2025 | vs Houston (neutral) | L | 3.21 | — | |
| Sep 5, 2026 | vsClemson | W | 5.61 | — | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vsLouisiana Tech | W | 3.42 | — | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | @Ole Miss | L | 4 | — | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vsTexas A&M | W | 5.11 | — | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | vs McNeese | W | 7.13 | — | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | @ Kentucky | L | 2.83 | — | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | vs Mississippi State | W | 3.03 | — | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | @ Auburn | W | 4.85 | — |
Method
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 10 of these 25 games; in the other 15 a player is counted as in them when the box score has a stat for him.