LSU’s third-down conversion rate with Sam Leavitt and without Sam Leavitt
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LSU averaged 50.8% third-down conversion rate with Sam Leavitt and 52.9% without Sam Leavitt in 2026, 7 games against 1, a difference of 2.1%. All 3 away games were with Sam Leavitt. Both day games were with Sam Leavitt. All 3 ranked opponents were with Sam Leavitt.
Sam Leavitt, quarterback: 2,171 passing yards, 256 pass attempts and 180 completions in 8 games this season.
One game without Sam Leavitt is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
third-down conversion rate a game
with Sam Leavitt
50.8%
without Sam Leavitt
52.9%
40%50%60%
The games
with Sam Leavittwithout Sam Leavitt
| Side | Date | Game | Result | 3rd downs | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | vs Clemson | W | 68.8% | 36.3% | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vs Louisiana Tech | W | 47.1% | 47.7% | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | @ Ole Miss | L | 52.9% | 44.0% | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vs Texas A&M | W | 33.3% | 42.2% | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | vs McNeese | W | 52.9% | — | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | @ Kentucky | L | 53.8% | 46.0% | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | vs Mississippi State | W | 61.5% | 45.6% | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | @ Auburn | W | 38.5% | 44.5% |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 1.4% for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- McNeese has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 3 of these 8 games; in the other 5 a player is counted as in them when the box score has a stat for him.
- With him means he was the team’s quarterback that game, at least half of its pass attempts; a game he left early or came into late reads as without him.