Putting Up Numbers· college football

Louisiana Monroe’s total yards with Marcellus Jackson and without Marcellus Jackson

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Louisiana Monroe was 14.4 yards under with Marcellus Jackson and 79.0 yards under without Marcellus Jackson in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 343.3 and 243.0, a difference of 100.3. All 4 home games were with Marcellus Jackson. Both night games were with Marcellus Jackson. All 4 nonconference games were with Marcellus Jackson.

Marcellus Jackson, receiver: 348 receiving yards, 33 receptions and 1 receiving touchdown in 7 games this season.

One game without Marcellus Jackson is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

total yards a game over expected

The games

with Marcellus Jacksonwithout Marcellus Jackson
Louisiana Monroe’s games, 2026, each marked with Marcellus Jackson or without Marcellus Jackson
SideDateGameResulttotal yardsExpected
Sep 5, 2026@Mississippi StateL282260.6
Sep 12, 2026@UABL257263.9
Sep 19, 2026vsSS E LouisianaL495—
Sep 26, 2026vsFlorida AtlanticL332413.1
Oct 3, 2026@South AlabamaL442335.2
Oct 17, 2026vsLouisiana TechL236320.1
Oct 24, 2026@TroyW243322.0
Oct 31, 2026vsSouthern MissL359401.5

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 12.1 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 67% of the difference the model predicts.
  • S E Louisiana has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.